Sunday, March 27, 2005

Tom Talks to the Squirrel

The Sunday paper has this Tom Friedman column:
(BSR comments in red)

TF: How will future historians explain it? How will they possibly explain why President George W. Bush decided to ignore the energy crisis staring us in the face and chose instead to spend all his electoral capital on a futile effort to undo the New Deal, by partially privatizing Social Security? We are, quite simply, witnessing one of the greatest examples of misplaced priorities in the history of the U.S. presidency.

BSR: Yoo-hoo, Mr. Friedman, over here. The president's energy policy has been announced and already you've forgotten. Your complaint seems more inclined undo his efforts to reform social security. Walking does not necessarily mean not chewing gum.

TF: "Ah, Friedman, but you overstate the case." No, I understate it. Look at the opportunities our country is missing - and the risks we are assuming - by having a president and vice president who refuse to lift a finger to put together a "geo-green" strategy that would marry geopolitics, energy policy and environmentalism.

BSR: Geo-green you say? Of course you refer to chapter 3. Protecting America's Environment and chapter 8. Strengthing Global Alliances of the president's energy policy. Consider fingers lifted.

TF: By doing nothing to lower U.S. oil consumption, we are financing both sides in the war on terrorism and strengthening the worst governments in the world. That is, we are financing the U.S. military with our tax dollars and we are financing the jihadists - and the Saudi, Sudanese and Iranian mosques and charities that support them - through our gasoline purchases. The oil boom is also entrenching the autocrats in Russia and Venezuela, which is becoming Castro's Cuba with oil.

BSR: So if I have this right, if we only get oil from non-terrorist sources, terrorists wouldn't have any money? And in the process we wouldn't kill our economy?

FT:By doing nothing to reduce U.S. oil consumption we are also setting up a global competition with China for energy resources, including right on our doorstep in Canada and Venezuela. Don't kid yourself: China's foreign policy today is very simple - holding on to Taiwan and looking for oil.

BSR: Last week you said. "I am not a China basher. We need to engage China, and help accommodate its rising power with the world system, but the only way to do that is from a position of strength." I understand--that was last week.

TF: Finally, by doing nothing to reduce U.S. oil consumption we are only hastening the climate change crisis, and the Bush officials who scoff at the science around this should hang their heads in shame. And it is only going to get worse the longer we do nothing. Wired magazine did an excellent piece in its April issue about hybrid cars, which get 40 to 50 miles to the gallon with very low emissions. One paragraph jumped out at me: "Right now, there are about 800 million cars in active use. By 2050, as cars become ubiquitous in China and India, it'll be 3.25 billion. That increase represents ... an almost unimaginable threat to our environment. Quadruple the cars means quadruple the carbon dioxide emissions - unless cleaner, less gas-hungry vehicles become the norm."

BSR: Stop. You started by scolding the president about US policy. Now you want him to control China and India too? Even Kyoto gave China and India a pass.

TF: All the elements of what I like to call a geo-green strategy are known:

We need a gasoline tax that would keep pump prices fixed at $4 a gallon, even if crude oil prices go down. At $4 a gallon (premium gasoline averages about $6 a gallon in Europe), we could change the car-buying habits of a large segment of the U.S. public, which would make it profitable for the car companies to convert more of their fleets to hybrid or ethanol engines, which over time could sharply reduce our oil consumption.

BSR: I don't know about you Tom, but $2.50 a gallon does it for me. Now that you've taken a shine to price controls what else might we raise prices on?

TF:We need to start building nuclear power plants again. The new nuclear technology is safer and cleaner than ever. "The risks of climate change by continuing to rely on hydrocarbons are much greater than the risks of nuclear power," said Peter Schwartz, chairman of Global Business Network, a leading energy and strategy consulting firm. "Climate change is real and it poses a civilizational threat that [could] transform the carrying capacity of the entire planet."

BSR: Agreed, we should build new nuclear energy plants as it says in Chapter 5. Energy for a New Century. When you say WE, do you mean the US government building nuclear power plants? Consider the unlikely prospect of both business and environmentalists teaming up against that.

TF: And we need some kind of carbon tax that would move more industries from coal to wind, hydro and solar power, or other, cleaner fuels. The revenue from these taxes would go to pay down the deficit and the reduction in oil imports would help to strengthen the dollar and defuse competition for energy with China.

BSR: Someone has to break it to Senator Sheets about that coal tax. As long as we're talking about hydo power you did see this didn't you?

TF: It's smart geopolitics. It's smart fiscal policy. It is smart climate policy. Most of all - it's smart politics! Even evangelicals are speaking out about our need to protect God's green earth. "The Republican Party is much greener than George Bush or Dick Cheney," remarked Mr. Schwartz. "There is now a near convergence of support on the environmental issue. Look at how popular [Arnold] Schwarzenegger, a green Republican, is becoming because of what he has done on the environment in California."

BSR: Smart, smart, smart...careful, patting yourself on the back you could pull a muscle. The crack about the Republican's being greener than George Bush serves your purposes, but you seem unaware that for all Governor Schwarzenegger's green policies it matters little to his opponents.

TF: Imagine if George Bush declared that he was getting rid of his limousine for an armor-plated Ford Escape hybrid, adopting a geo-green strategy and building an alliance of neocons, evangelicals and greens to sustain it. His popularity at home - and abroad - would soar. The country is dying to be led on this. Instead, he prefers to squander his personal energy trying to take apart the New Deal and throwing red meat to right-to-life fanatics. What a waste of a presidency. How will future historians explain it?

BSR: Armor plating a Ford Escape is one sure way to kill fuel efficiency. Oh, and...nice gratuitous shot at right-to-lifers. This comes right after talking about building alliances--does anyone edit your copy?


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